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1.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 23(4): 897-909, 2021 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33319467

RESUMO

AIMS: To develop and validate 10-year risk prediction models, nomograms and charts for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in primary care, in order to guide individualized treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a 10-year population-based observational cohort study. A total of 141 516 Chinese T2DM patients without history of cardiovascular disease or ESRD who were managed in public primary care clinics in 2008 were included and followed up until December 2017. Two-thirds of these patients were randomly selected to develop sex-specific ESRD risk prediction models using Cox regressions. The validity and accuracy of the models were tested on the remaining third of patients using Harrell's C-index. We selected variables based on their clinical and statistical importance to construct the nomograms and charts. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 9.75 years. The cumulative incidence of ESRD was 6.0% (men: 6.1%, women: 5.9%). Age, diabetes duration, systolic blood pressure (SBP), SBP variability, diastolic blood pressure, triglycerides, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c), HbA1c variability, urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were significant predictors for both sexes. Smoking and total cholesterol to HDL cholesterol ratio were additional significant predictors for men and women, respectively. The models showed Harrell's C-statistics of 0.889/0.889 (women/men). Age, eGFR, UACR, SBP and HbA1c were selected for both sexes to develop nomograms and charts. CONCLUSIONS: Using routinely available variables, the 10-year ESRD risk of Chinese T2DM patients in primary care can be predicted with approximately 90% accuracy. We have developed different tools to facilitate routine ESRD risk prediction in primary care, so that individualized care can be provided to prevent or delay ESRD in T2DM patients.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Falência Renal Crônica , China/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Feminino , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Humanos , Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Falência Renal Crônica/etiologia , Masculino , Nomogramas , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
2.
BMC Public Health ; 20(1): 1544, 2020 Oct 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33054753

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Parent-child exercises involve children and parents to do workout together and have positive effects on physical and mental health. We developed a mobile app on parent-child exercises called Family Move, which combines coaching videos with game features such as points and level system to enhance the health and wellbeing of both children and parents through parent-child exercises. This pilot pre-post study investigated whether the Family Move app-based intervention had a positive effect on children's health-related quality of life (HRQOL), psychosocial wellbeing, and physical activity (PA) level. METHODS: We recruited 67 parent-child pairs. During the 8-week intervention, these pairs were invited to perform parent-child exercises using the Family Move app. Points were automatically added to the user account after viewing a coaching video. In-game ranking was available to enhance user engagement. Parent proxy-report questionnaires on children's HRQOL, psychosocial wellbeing, and PA were administered at baseline and 1- and 6-month follow-up. Paired samples t-tests were conducted to evaluate post-intervention changes in child outcomes (HRQOL, psychosocial wellbeing, and PA). Multiple linear regressions were used to examine these changes as a function of in-game ranking. RESULTS: 52 (78%) viewed at least one coaching video in the Family Move app. Children's PA level significantly increased at 1-month (d = 0.32, p = 0.030) and 6-month (d = 0.30, p = 0.042) follow-up, whereas their psychosocial problems declined at 6-month follow-up (d = 0.35, p = 0.005). Higher in-game ranking was significantly associated with fewer psychosocial problems at 1-month follow-up (ß = - 0.15, p = 0.030). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the Family Move app could be a possible intervention to increase children's PA level and psychosocial wellbeing through parent-child exercise. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03279354 , registered September 11, 2017 (Prospectively registered).


Assuntos
Exercício Físico , Saúde Mental , Aplicativos Móveis , Relações Pais-Filho , Criança , China , Feminino , Hong Kong , Humanos , Masculino , Projetos Piloto , Qualidade de Vida
3.
Violence Against Women ; 26(15-16): 2041-2061, 2020 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31896311

RESUMO

A cross-sectional analysis of a dataset of 156 participants in a health assessment program explored whether negative emotional states mediated the association between intimate partner violence (IPV) and health-related quality of life (HRQoL). Compared with IPV screen-negative participants, those who screened positive had significantly lower HRQoL and significantly higher levels of depression, anxiety, and stress. The inverse associations between the presence of IPV and HRQoL were found to be mediated by depression, anxiety, and stress. Therefore, interventions to alleviate negative emotions in women suffering from IPV have the potential to be useful in improving their HRQoL.


Assuntos
Emoções , Violência por Parceiro Íntimo/psicologia , Pobreza , Qualidade de Vida , Adulto , Ansiedade/epidemiologia , Povo Asiático/psicologia , Estudos Transversais , Depressão/epidemiologia , Feminino , Hong Kong , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Angústia Psicológica , Inquéritos e Questionários
4.
Endocrine ; 63(2): 259-269, 2019 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30155847

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The multidisciplinary Risk Assessment and Management Program for patients with diabetes mellitus (RAMP-DM) was found to be cost-saving in comparison with usual primary care over 5 years' follow-up. This study aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of RAMP-DM over lifetime. METHODS: We built a Discrete Event Simulation model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of RAMP-DM over lifespan from public health service provider's perspective. Transition probabilities among disease states were extrapolated from a cohort of 17,140 propensity score matched participants in RAMP-DM and those under usual primary care over 5-year's follow-up. The mortality of patients with specific DM-related complications was estimated from a cohort of 206,238 patients with diabetes. Health preference and direct medical costs of DM patients referred to our previous studies among Chinese DM patients. RESULTS: RAMP-DM individuals gained 0.745 QALYs and cost US$1404 less than those under usual care. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis found that RAMP-DM had 86.0% chance of being cost-saving compared to usual care under the assumptions and estimates used in the model. The probability of RAMP-DM being cost-effective compared to usual care would be over 99%, when the willingness to pay threshold is HK$20,000 (US$ 2564) or higher. CONCLUSION: RAMP-DM added to usual primary care was cost-saving in managing people with diabetes over lifetime. These findings support the integration of RAMP-DM as part of routine primary care for all patients with diabetes.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus , Comunicação Interdisciplinar , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos de Coortes , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diabetes Mellitus/economia , Diabetes Mellitus/terapia , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Assistência de Longa Duração/métodos , Equipe de Assistência ao Paciente/economia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/economia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/métodos , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Medição de Risco/economia , Medição de Risco/métodos
5.
BMJ Open ; 8(10): e023070, 2018 10 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30327405

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a major disease burden worldwide because it is associated with disabling and lethal complications. DM complication risk assessment and stratification is key to cost-effective management and tertiary prevention for patients with diabetes in primary care. Existing risk prediction functions were found to be inaccurate in Chinese patients with diabetes in primary care. This study aims to develop 10-year risk prediction models for total cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and all-cause mortality among Chinese patients with DM in primary care. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A 10-year cohort study on a population-based primary care cohort of Chinese patients with diabetes, who were receiving care in the Hospital Authority General Outpatient Clinic on or before 1 January 2008, were identified from the clinical management system database of the Hospital Authority. All patients with complete baseline risk factors will be included and followed from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2017 for the development and validation of prediction models. The analyses will be carried out separately for men and women. Two-thirds of subjects will be randomly selected as the training sample for model development. Cox regressions will be used to develop 10-year risk prediction models of total CVD and all-cause mortality. The validity of models will be tested on the remaining one-third of subjects by Harrell's C-statistics and calibration plot. Risk prediction models for diabetic complications specific to Chinese patients in primary care will enable accurate risk stratification, prioritisation of resources and more cost-effective interventions for patients with DM in primary care. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong-the Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster (reference number: UW 15-258). TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03299010; Pre-results.


Assuntos
Complicações do Diabetes/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus/mortalidade , Medição de Risco , Adulto , China/etnologia , Protocolos Clínicos , Complicações do Diabetes/etiologia , Complicações do Diabetes/mortalidade , Feminino , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
6.
Qual Life Res ; 27(9): 2459-2469, 2018 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29948606

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The evidence on the responsiveness of the Short Form-12 Health Survey version 2 (SF-12v2) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is limited. The aim of this study was to examine both the internal and external responsiveness of the SF-12 measures in Chinese patients with T2DM. METHODS: A prospective longitudinal observational study was conducted on 1443 T2DM patients managed in public primary care clinics between 2012 and 2013. These patients were surveyed at baseline and at 12 months using SF-12v2. The internal responsiveness was evaluated by linear mixed effect models. Meanwhile, the external responsiveness was tested by multiple linear regression models and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: The internal responsiveness of the SF-12v2 to detect negative change was satisfactory among T2DM patients in worsened group, but only the general health domain of SF-12v2 could detect positive change among T2DM patients with improved group. For external responsiveness, the SF-12v2 detected a significant difference-in-difference between patients with worsened and stable/improved group, but not between patients with stable and improved group. The areas under the ROC curve for all domains and summary scales of the SF-12v2 were not statistically different from 0.7. CONCLUSION: This study showed that the responsiveness of SF-12v2 might not achieve the standard. Despite the wide use of the SF-12v2, we would like to urge that both clinicians and researchers should use it with caution in longitudinal study.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos/métodos , Qualidade de Vida/psicologia , Idoso , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/patologia , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
7.
Diabetes Care ; 41(6): 1134-1141, 2018 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29592967

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to compare the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) with treated hypertension who achieved systolic blood pressures (SBPs) of <120, <130, and <140 mmHg after an increase in their antihypertensive regimen. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 28,014 primary care adult patients with T2DM with no prior diagnosis of CVD and who achieved SBP readings <140 mmHg after an increase in the number of antihypertensive medications prescribed. Using an extension of propensity score matching, a total of 2,079, 10,851, and 15,084 matched patients with achieved SBP measurements of <120, <130, and <140 mmHg were identified. The association between achieved SBP and incident CVD were evaluated using Cox regressions. Subgroup analyses were conducted by stratifying patients' baseline characteristics. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 4.8 years, the incidence of CVD in patients with achieved SBP measures of <120, <130, and <140 mmHg were 318 (15.3%; incidence rate [IR] 34.3/1,000 person-years [PY]), 992 (9.1%; IR 20.4/1,000 PY), and 1,635 (10.8%; IR 21.4/1,000 PY). Achieved SBP <120 mmHg was associated with a higher risk of CVD compared with achieved SBP <130 mmHg (hazard ratio [HR] 1.75 [95% CI 1.53, 2.00]) and achieved SBP <140 mmHg (HR 1.67 [95% CI 1.46, 1.90]). There was a significant reduction in CVD risk in patients <65 years (HR 0.81 [95% CI 0.69, 0.96]) but no difference for other patients, including patients ≥65 years, who achieved SBP <130 mmHg when compared with the group that achieved SBP <140 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support a SBP treatment target of 140 mmHg and suspect no risk reduction attenuation on CVD for lower SBP targets (<120 or <130 mmHg) for most patients with uncomplicated T2DM. A randomized control trial is still needed to confirm these findings.


Assuntos
Anti-Hipertensivos/uso terapêutico , Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/fisiopatologia , Hipertensão/tratamento farmacológico , Adulto , Idoso , Pressão Sanguínea/efeitos dos fármacos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Sístole , Resultado do Tratamento
8.
BMJ Open ; 8(2): e018792, 2018 02 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29472262

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Chronic stress has adverse effects on health. Adults and children from low-income families are subject to multiple sources of stress. Existing literature about economic hardship mostly focuses on either adults or children but not both. Moreover, there is limited knowledge on the relationship between parental generalised stress and child health problems. This study aims to explore the bidirectional relationship between parental stress and child health in Chinese low-income families and to identify other modifiable factors influencing this relationship. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This prospective cohort study will sample 254 low-income parent-child pairs and follow them up for 24 months with assessments at three time points (baseline, 12 and 24 months) on parental stress, health-related quality of life (HRQOL) and child health and behaviour using both subjective measures and objective physiological parameters. This study will collect data using standardised measures on HRQOL and behaviours of children as well as on HRQOL, mental health and stress levels of parents along with physiological tests of allostatic load and telomere length. The mediating or moderating effect of family harmony, parenting style and neighbourhood conditions will also be assessed. Data will be analysed using latent growth modelling and cross-lagged path analysis modelling to examine the bidirectional effect of parental stress and child health over time. Mediation and moderation analysis will also be conducted to examine the mechanism by which the variables relate. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study was approved by the institutional review board of the University of Hong Kong-the Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster, reference no: UW 16-415. The study findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and international conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03185273; Pre-results.


Assuntos
Saúde da Criança , Pais/psicologia , Pobreza , Qualidade de Vida , Estresse Psicológico/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Feminino , Hong Kong , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Relações Pais-Filho , Estudos Prospectivos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Características de Residência , Telômero/ultraestrutura
9.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 20(2): 309-318, 2018 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28722290

RESUMO

AIMS: Evidence-based cardiovascular diseases (CVD) risk prediction models and tools specific for Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are currently unavailable. This study aimed to develop and validate a CVD risk prediction model for Chinese T2DM patients. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted with 137 935 Chinese patients aged 18 to 79 years with T2DM and without prior history of CVD, who had received public primary care services between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2010. Using the derivation cohort over a median follow-up of 5 years, the interaction effect between predictors and age were derived using Cox proportional hazards regression with a forward stepwise approach. Harrell's C statistic and calibration plot were used on the validation cohort to assess the discrimination and calibration of the models. The web calculator and chart were developed based on the developed models. RESULTS: For both genders, predictors for higher risk of CVD were older age, smoking, longer diabetes duration, usage of anti-hypertensive drug and insulin, higher body mass index, haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), systolic and diastolic blood pressure, a total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (TC/HDL-C) ratio and urine albumin to creatinine ratio, and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate. Interaction factors with age demonstrated a greater weighting of TC/HDL-C ratio in both younger females and males, and smoking status and HbA1c in younger males. CONCLUSION: The developed models, translated into a web calculator and color-coded chart, served as evidence-based visual aids that facilitate clinicians to estimate quickly the 5-year CVD risk for Chinese T2DM patients and to guide intervention.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Angiopatias Diabéticas/epidemiologia , Cardiomiopatias Diabéticas/epidemiologia , Modelos Cardiovasculares , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etnologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etnologia , Angiopatias Diabéticas/etnologia , Angiopatias Diabéticas/etiologia , Cardiomiopatias Diabéticas/etnologia , Cardiomiopatias Diabéticas/etiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Adulto Jovem
10.
Diabetes Care ; 41(2): 250-257, 2018 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29246949

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of the multidisciplinary Risk Assessment and Management Programme-Diabetes Mellitus (RAMP-DM) in primary care patients with type 2 diabetes in comparison with usual primary care in a cohort with 5 years' follow-up. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study among 17,140 propensity score-matched participants in RAMP-DM and those under usual primary care. The effectiveness measures were cumulative incidences of complications and all-cause mortality over 5 years. In a bottom-up approach, we estimated the program costs of RAMP-DM and health service utilization from the public health service provider's perspective. The RAMP-DM program costs included the setup costs, ongoing intervention costs, and central administrative costs. We calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio by dividing the incremental costs by the incremental effectiveness of the RAMP-DM group compared with those of the usual-care group. RESULTS: There were significantly lower cumulative incidences of individual on any complications (15.34% vs. 28.65%, P < 0.001) and all-cause mortality (7.96% vs. 21.35%, P < 0.001) in the RAMP-DM group compared with the usual-care group. The mean program cost of RAMP-DM was 157 U.S. dollars (range 66-209) per participant over 5 years. The costs of health service utilization among participants in RAMP-DM group was 7,451 USD less than that of the usual-care group, resulting in a net savings of 7,294 USD per individual. CONCLUSIONS: RAMP-DM added to usual primary care was a cost-saving intervention in managing diabetes in patients over 5 years. These findings support the integration of RAMP-DM as part of routine primary care for all patients with diabetes.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/economia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Programas Nacionais de Saúde , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Incidência , Pesquisa Interdisciplinar , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Programas Nacionais de Saúde/economia , Programas Nacionais de Saúde/organização & administração , Programas Nacionais de Saúde/normas , Atenção Primária à Saúde/economia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/métodos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Adulto Jovem
11.
Diabetes Care ; 41(1): 49-59, 2018 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29138274

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the 5-year effectiveness of a multidisciplinary Risk Assessment and Management Programme-Diabetes Mellitus (RAMP-DM) in primary care patients with type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A 5-year prospective cohort study was conducted with 121,584 Chinese primary care patients with type 2 DM who were recruited between August 2009 and June 2011. Missing data were dealt with multiple imputations. After excluding patients with prior diabetes mellitus (DM)-related complications and one-to-one propensity score matching on all patient characteristics, 26,718 RAMP-DM participants and 26,718 matched usual care patients were followed up for a median time of 4.5 years. The effect of RAMP-DM on nine DM-related complications and all-cause mortality were evaluated using Cox regressions. The first incidence for each event was used for all models. Health service use was analyzed using negative binomial regressions. Subgroup analyses on different patient characteristics were performed. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of all events (DM-related complications and all-cause mortality) was 23.2% in the RAMP-DM group and 43.6% in the usual care group. RAMP-DM led to significantly greater reductions in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk by 56.6% (95% CI 54.5, 58.6), microvascular complications by 11.9% (95% CI 7.0, 16.6), mortality by 66.1% (95% CI 64.3, 67.9), specialist attendance by 35.0% (95% CI 33.6, 36.4), emergency attendance by 41.2% (95% CI 39.8, 42.5), and hospitalizations by 58.5% (95% CI 57.2, 59.7). Patients with low baseline CVD risks benefitted the most from RAMP-DM, which decreased CVD and mortality risk by 60.4% (95% CI 51.8, 67.5) and 83.6% (95% CI 79.3, 87.0), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This naturalistic study highlighted the importance of early optimal DM control and risk factor management by risk stratification and multidisciplinary, protocol-driven, chronic disease model care to delay disease progression and prevent complications.


Assuntos
Complicações do Diabetes/mortalidade , Complicações do Diabetes/terapia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Gerenciamento Clínico , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Seguimentos , Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Mortalidade , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Pontuação de Propensão , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco
12.
Sci Rep ; 7(1): 15238, 2017 11 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29127341

RESUMO

Cardiovascular disease(CVD) is the leading cause of mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM), and a risk classification model for CVD among primary care diabetic patients is pivotal for risk-based interventions and patient information. This study developed a simple tool for a 5-year CVD risk prediction for primary care Chinese patients with T2DM. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 137,935 primary care Chinese T2DM patients aged 18-79 years without history of CVD between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2010. New events of CVD of the cohort over a median follow up of 5 years were extracted from the medical records. A classification rule of 5-year CVD risk was obtained from the derivation cohort and validated in the validation cohort. Significant risk factors included in decision tree were age, gender, smoking status, diagnosis duration, obesity, unsatisfactory control on haemoglobin A1c and cholesterol, albuminuria and stage of chronic kidney disease, which categorized patients into five 5-year CVD risk groups(<5%; 5-9%; 10-14%; 15-19% and ≥20%). Taking the group with the lowest CVD risk, the hazard ratios varied from 1.92(1.77,2.08) to 8.46(7.75,9.24). The present prediction model performed comparable discrimination and better calibration from the plot compared to other current existing models.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Árvores de Decisões , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Povo Asiático , Doenças Cardiovasculares/classificação , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/metabolismo , Doenças Cardiovasculares/patologia , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/classificação , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/patologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco
13.
Hypertension ; 70(6): 1273-1282, 2017 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29038204

RESUMO

The current trend on diabetes mellitus management advocates replacing the paradigm from a uniform to an individualized patient-centered systolic blood pressure (SBP), but there is no consensus on the achieved treatment goals of SBP level. The study aimed at evaluating the association between SBP and the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and all-cause mortality for diabetic patients to identify patient-centered treatment targets. A retrospective study was conducted on 95 086 Chinese adult primary care patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and hypertension. Using the average of the annual SBP records (updated SBP) over a median follow-up of 5.9 years, the risks of overall CVD, all-cause mortality, and their composite associated with SBP were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression. Subgroup analysis was performed on the incidence of CVD by stratifying patient's baseline characteristics. The SBP range for the lowest risk of CVD and all-cause mortality was 130 to 134 mm Hg among type 2 diabetes mellitus population. A J-shaped curvilinear relationship was identified between SBP and risk of CVD and all-cause mortality, irrespective of patients' characteristics. The findings showed that all patients with SBP <125 mm Hg or ≥140 mm Hg had an increased risk of CVD and mortality. This large territory-wide study showed the level of achieved SBP of 125 to 139 mm Hg in pharmacological therapy, irrespective of patients' characteristics, suggested that the SBP treatment goal of <140 mm Hg and individualized SBP target may not be necessary in diabetic management.


Assuntos
Anti-Hipertensivos/uso terapêutico , Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Gerenciamento Clínico , Hipertensão/tratamento farmacológico , Assistência Centrada no Paciente/métodos , Medição de Risco , Idoso , Causas de Morte/tendências , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/fisiopatologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Sístole , Fatores de Tempo
14.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 6(8)2017 Aug 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28862945

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The relative effect of hemoglobin A1c, blood pressure, and low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) ("ABC" factors) on the prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus is poorly understood. This study aimed to evaluate the association of key clinical parameters on CVD risk using a multifactorial optimal control approach in Chinese primary care patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. METHODS AND RESULTS: A population-based retrospective cohort study was conducted on 144 271 Chinese type 2 diabetes mellitus primary care patients, aged 18 to 79 and without prior clinical diagnosis of CVD in 2008-2011. Cox regressions were conducted to examine the association between the combinations of ABC targets (hemoglobin A1c <7%, blood pressure <130/90 mm Hg, and LDL-C <2.6 mmol/L) and risks of CVD (overall), coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. Achieving more ABC targets incrementally reduced the incidence of total CVD and individual disease including coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure, irrespective of other patient characteristics. Compared with suboptimal control in all ABC levels, achieving any 1, 2, and all 3 ABC targets reduced the relative risk of CVD by 13% to 42%, 31% to 52%, and 55%, respectively. Among those achieving only 1 ABC target, LDL-C reduction was associated with the greatest CVD risk reduction (42%), followed by blood pressure reduction (18%), and hemoglobin A1c reduction (13%). CONCLUSIONS: To achieve the greatest risk reduction for the incidence of CVD, the ultimate goal of treatment should be to achieve target control of hemoglobin A1c, blood pressure, and LDL-C. If it is not possible to achieve all 3 targets, efforts should be prioritized on treating the LDL-C to minimize CVD risk.


Assuntos
Anticolesterolemiantes/uso terapêutico , Anti-Hipertensivos/uso terapêutico , Pressão Sanguínea/efeitos dos fármacos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , LDL-Colesterol/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Dislipidemias/tratamento farmacológico , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/metabolismo , Hipertensão/tratamento farmacológico , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Dislipidemias/sangue , Dislipidemias/diagnóstico , Dislipidemias/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/diagnóstico , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/fisiopatologia , Incidência , Modelos Lineares , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
15.
BMC Nephrol ; 18(1): 257, 2017 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28764641

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Since diabetes mellitus (DM) is the leading cause of end stage renal disease (ESRD), this study aimed to develop a 5-year ESRD risk prediction model among Chinese patients with Type 2 DM (T2DM) in primary care. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 149,333 Chinese adult T2DM primary care patients without ESRD in 2010. Using the derivation cohort over a median of 5 years follow-up, the gender-specific models including the interaction effect between predictors and age were derived using Cox regression with a forward stepwise approach. Harrell's C-statistic and calibration plot were applied to the validation cohort to assess discrimination and calibration of the models. RESULTS: Prediction models showed better discrimination with Harrell's C-statistics of 0.866 (males) and 0.862 (females) and calibration power from the plots than other established models. The predictors included age, usages of anti-hypertensive drugs, anti-glucose drugs, and Hemogloblin A1c, blood pressure, urine albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Specific predictors for male were smoking and presence of sight threatening diabetic retinopathy while additional predictors for female included longer duration of diabetes and quadratic effect of body mass index. Interaction factors with age showed a greater weighting of insulin and urine ACR in younger males, and eGFR in younger females. CONCLUSIONS: Our newly developed gender-specific models provide a more accurate 5-year ESRD risk predictions for Chinese diabetic primary care patients than other existing models. The models included several modifiable risk factors that clinicians can use to counsel patients, and to target at in the delivery of care to patients.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Falência Renal Crônica/diagnóstico , Falência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População , Idoso , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Feminino , Humanos , Falência Renal Crônica/terapia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População/métodos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
16.
Qual Life Res ; 26(12): 3297-3306, 2017 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28741262

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To explore the association between maternal intimate partner abuse (IPA) and their children's health-related quality of life (HRQOL) and behavioural problem, and to establish a mediation model and investigate the mediating role of mothers' HRQOL on this association. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted on 197 mothers of 227 children (112 boys and 115 girls) from low-income Chinese families. The mothers were asked to complete the 5-item abuse assessment screen questionnaire for the presence of IPA, the Chinese (Hong Kong) version of 12-item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-12) for their HRQOL and a structured socio-demographics questionnaire. One of the parents completed the Child Health Questionnaire-Parent Form-50 (CHQ-PF50) and the strengths and difficulties questionnaire (SDQ) to report on their children's HRQOL and behavioural problems, respectively. The mediating effect of the maternal HRQOL on the relationship between maternal IPA status and their children's behavioural problems and HRQOL was tested using Baron and Kenney's multistage regression approach and bootstrapping method. RESULTS: Thirty-five of the 197 mothers reported IPA (17.8%). Children whose mothers had experienced IPA had lower scores in the CHQ-PF50 mental health, parental impact-emotional, family activities and family cohesion subscales, and the psychosocial summary score compared to children of mothers who reported no IPA; they also had more emotional, conduct and hyperactivity/inattention problems and higher total difficulties scores measured by the SDQ. Maternal mental HRQOL was a mediator on the relationship between maternal IPA status and their children's behavioural problems and psychosocial HRQOL. CONCLUSION: IPA experienced by mothers had significant negative impacts on their children's HRQOL and behaviours, which was mediated by maternal mental HRQOL.


Assuntos
Comportamento Infantil/psicologia , Violência por Parceiro Íntimo/psicologia , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Mães/psicologia , Perfil de Impacto da Doença , Adulto , Criança , China , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pobreza , Inquéritos e Questionários
17.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 17(1): 166, 2017 06 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28645252

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The benefit of statin on the management of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) among Chinese patients in primary care is not clear nor fully implemented in clinical practice. This study aimed to evaluate and quantify the benefit of statin on the overall cardiovascular risk and all-cause mortality in patients with T2DM. METHODS: Uncomplicated diabetic patients with baseline low-density-lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) > 2.6 mmol/L and without statin use before baseline in 2010 were followed-up for 5 years for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching analysis was conducted to identify patients who were newly prescribed statin at baseline and then compared to non-statin users with similar baseline characteristics. Subgroup analysis was done within the statin group to detect any difference in outcomes between patients achieving target LDL-C of <2.6 mmol/L and not. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression with adjustment of all baseline covariates was used to evaluate the effect of statin on outcome events. Hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence intervals were reported. RESULTS: 10,104 pairs of diabetic patients were propensity score matched. Statin users had an extra drop of 1.21 mmol/L in LDL-C than non-users. Statin group had a CVD incidence rate of 16.533 per 1000 person-years whereas comparison group had 32.387 per 1000 person-years (HR: 0.458) during a median follow-up period of 50.5 months. Statin group had a mortality rate of 8.138 deaths per 1000 person-years whereas comparison group had 19.603 deaths per 1000 person-years (HR: 0.378). For patients prescribed with statin, the HR was 0.491 for CVD and 0.487 for all-cause mortality if target of LDL-C < 2.6 mmol/L achieved compare to those not achieved. CONCLUSIONS: Use of statin was associated with a significant decrease in CVD risk and all-cause mortality among diabetic patients in primary care, and the risk reduction was most significant if the target of LDL-C less than 2.6 mmol/L was achieved.


Assuntos
Povo Asiático , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , LDL-Colesterol/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/mortalidade , Dislipidemias/tratamento farmacológico , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etnologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Causas de Morte , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etnologia , Dislipidemias/sangue , Dislipidemias/etnologia , Dislipidemias/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Pontuação de Propensão , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
18.
J Diabetes Complications ; 31(6): 939-944, 2017 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28238555

RESUMO

AIMS: This study aimed to develop and validate an all-cause mortality risk prediction model for Chinese primary care patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM) in Hong Kong. METHODS: A population-based retrospective cohort study was conducted on 132,462 Chinese patients who had received public primary care services during 2010. Each gender sample was randomly split on a 2:1 basis into derivation and validation cohorts and was followed-up for a median period of 5years. Gender-specific mortality risk prediction models showing the interaction effect between predictors and age were derived using Cox proportional hazards regression with forward stepwise approach. Developed models were compared with pre-existing models by Harrell's C-statistic and calibration plot using validation cohort. RESULTS: Common predictors of increased mortality risk in both genders included: age; smoking habit; diabetes duration; use of anti-hypertensive agents, insulin and lipid-lowering drugs; body mass index; hemoglobin A1c; systolic blood pressure(BP); total cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol ratio; urine albumin to creatinine ratio(urine ACR); and estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR). Prediction models showed better discrimination with Harrell"'s C-statistics of 0.768(males) and 0.782(females) and calibration power from the plots than previously established models. CONCLUSIONS: Our newly developed gender-specific models provide a more accurate predicted 5-year mortality risk for Chinese diabetic patients than other established models.


Assuntos
Causas de Morte , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/mortalidade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Povo Asiático/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Análise de Sobrevida
19.
BMC Nephrol ; 18(1): 47, 2017 02 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28152985

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) are renal markers associated with risks of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and all-cause mortality in diabetic patients. This study aims to quantify such risks in Chinese diabetic patients based on eGFR and UACR. METHODS: This was a territory-wide retrospective cohort study on primary care diabetic patients with documented eGFR and UACR but without baseline CVD in 2008/2009. They were followed up till 2013 on CVD events and mortality. Associations between eGFR/UACR and incidence of CVD/mortality were evaluated by multivariable Cox proportional models adjusted with socio-demographic and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: The data of 66,311 patients who had valid baseline eGFR and UACR values were analysed. The risks of CVD events and mortality increased exponentially with the decrease in eGFR, with a hazard ratio (HR) increasing from 1.63 to 4.55 for CVD, and from 1.70 to 9.49 for mortality, associated with Stage 3 to 5 CKD, compared to Stage 1 CKD. UACR showed a positive linear association with CVD events and mortality. Microalbuminuria was associated with a HR of 1.58 and 2.08 for CVD and mortality in male (1.48 and 1.79 for female), respectively, compared to no microalbuminuria. Male patients with UACR 1-1.4 mg/mmol and eGFR ≥90 ml/min/1.73 m2 (60-89 ml/min/1.73 m2) had a HR of 1.25 (1.43) for CVD. Female patients with UACR 2.5-3.4 mg/ml and eGFR ≥90 ml/min/1.73 m2 (60-89 ml/min/1.73 m2) had a HR of 1.45 (1.65) for CVD. CONCLUSIONS: Risks of CVD events and mortality increased exponentially with eGFR drop, while UACR showed positive predictive linear relationships, and the risks started even in high-normal albuminuria. UACR-based HR was further modified according to eGFR level, with risk progressed with CKD stage. Combining eGFR and UACR level was more accurate in predicting risk of CVD/mortality. The findings call for more aggressive screening and intervention of microalbuminuria in diabetic patients.


Assuntos
Albuminúria/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Creatinina/urina , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Albuminúria/metabolismo , Povo Asiático , Doenças Cardiovasculares/metabolismo , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , China , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Progressão da Doença , Feminino , Seguimentos , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos
20.
J Public Health (Oxf) ; 39(2): 258-265, 2017 06 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27222238

RESUMO

Background: To assess health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among Chinese adults from low-income households in Hong Kong, and to explore any threshold of household income that impaired HRQOL. Methods: A cross-sectional analysis was conducted on 298 adults from low-income families when they enrolled into a cohort study between 2012 and 2014. HRQOL was measured by the 12-item Short-Form Health Survey-version 2 (SF-12v2). Their mean SF-12v2 subscale and summary scores were compared with those of 596 age-sex-matched subjects randomly selected from a database of 2763 adults from the Hong Kong general population (ratio = 1:2). Multiple linear regressions were conducted to determine any association between monthly household income and HRQOL. Results: Subjects from low-income households had significantly lower SF-12v2 bodily pain, general health, vitality and physical component summary (PCS) scores than the age-sex matched subjects from the general population. Subgroup analysis showed that a household income <50% of the median monthly household income in Hong Kong (HK$10 000 ≈ US$1290, i.e. poverty line in Hong Kong) was independently associated with poorer PCS and mental component summary (MCS) scores after adjustment for socio-demographics and co-morbidities. Conclusion: Chinese adults from low-income households had poorer HRQOL, and <50% of the median monthly household income seems to be the threshold for impairment of both physical and mental HRQOL. The findings support the current definition of the poverty line.


Assuntos
Povo Asiático/estatística & dados numéricos , Nível de Saúde , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Renda/estatística & dados numéricos , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Pública/estatística & dados numéricos , Qualidade de Vida/psicologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Hong Kong , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores Socioeconômicos
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